I used to think that talk was malarkey and sour grapes, but now I find it pretty plausible, between the Hatsunes Mikus T-Shirt  and my own experience.I’m not saying it’s conclusive proof by any means, but I’ve moved it into the plausible category in my book. I can believe they’ve done A/B testing sometime around 2019 and figured out I engage with my hundo catches way more often (evolving, powering up, walking, buddying, second moving, investing rare candy) than I do with any other classification of Pokemon, even if they’re not always generally desirable species.And for some people if shinies float their boat instead of hundos I could see the odds getting stacked differently for them. I agree that revelation would end the game though. There would be big class action lawsuits from all the whales who poured money into the game.From 2016-2018 I got 3 hundos (one Eevee wild catch back when IV generation was busted, one research, one hatch). Then suddenly in 2019 I started getting WAY more. 10 in 2019, 20 the next year, and 16 so far this year. That’s a massive shiftBefore anyone chimes in there are way better ways of getting hundos these days (lucky trades, purification, raid, research, weather IV boosts, etc.) even if I exclude any of the new mechanics and limit to stuff that existed pre-2019 (wild, eggs, raids, research) I have exactly 10 hundos in each of the last 3 years. The weird thing is 2018 and 19 were probably my peak amount of gameplay. It’s way dropped off since the pandemic started but my hundo numbers are up or consistent. I also IV checked all of my Pokemon back before the IV checking was improved, and hundos were still easy to spot back then, so that’s not a factor.

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I saw that post too, although no I think it’s just the exponential growth of the coupon collector’s problem. If you need to collect 10 things, the last one will take way longer than the others, etc. Or if you’re interested in binomial distributions, it’s like a bell curve so at a certain point you’re very likely to get there Hatsunes Mikus T-Shirt   but the problem here is there are so many things stacked on top of each other, that even if you play for six, seven, eight, nine hours, you can still fairly easily get screwed. If they had them spawn on certain days or gave you more quests, spawned from incense, etc, then this would be a lot more likely for the players who truly played the whole event and wanted it. But no summarize, no I don’t think it’s because they have something implemented. I think a lot of people are very superstitious about PoGo and games in general with statistics. It’s the same when you see someone do ten excellents and then catch in a great, and try do that twice in a row and say “wow it must actually be better to catch with a great,” but no it’s just random variance in the RNG.I think if the quests had a more balanced spread/distribution, it wouldn’t have seemed so painful. The impression I’m getting is some tasks were much less common for some versus others (I only saw a few event berry tasks all week), and then that combined with the 33% odds just made it hurt. I wish I would have kept a tally to see if it was as bad as it seemed (I legit think I only saw 4 all week — my final johto was from a lure).